Seven days after launch, one of our Chrome extensions had met 1 of its 4 success criteria.
Seven days after launch, one of our Chrome extensions had met 1 of its 4 success criteria. The other had met 0.
I'm letting AI decide what software I build, starting with Chrome extensions. Before two of them went live on Sept 28, we wrote down what "working" means at week 4. Same four for both: • 300+ organic installs • a key search term in the store's top 10 • rating 4.3+ • uninstall rate under 40%
Day 7 (Oct 5): Bookmark Rewind had the top-10 search spot and nothing else yet. Reopen Closed Tabs had none. Some were short, some had no data yet.
Why write them first? After the fact, almost any number can be told as "promising". A written bar turns that into a yes or a no. For Reopen Closed Tabs we also wrote a kill line: under 100 installs at week 4 means the idea behind it didn't hold.
What I'd pass on:
- Pick criteria you can check without anyone's opinion.
- Set the date before launch.
- Don't move the bar when the numbers come in.
We check again around Oct 26, against the same four, and publish it either way.
If you want a second opinion on a direction before you build it, we do one free verdict a day: numberandreason.com/?src=en-li#join